Explore how we make decisions under uncertainty.
Detect a faint signal in visual noise. Similar to Radiology or finding a vein.
Review patient vitals and context. Decide whether to Escalate or Monitor.
Is the signal present?
Look at the scope. A faint white dot (Signal) appears in 50% of trials. The background noise makes it hard to see.
Decision: Is this patient SICK (Escalate)?
You are reviewing patients. Some are Sick (requiring escalation) and some are Stable (safe for ward monitoring).
Look beyond the numbers. Consider the context. Avoid "missed deterioration" but try not to "over-triage" everyone.
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Sensitivity (d'): - (Ability to distinguish Signal from Noise)
Bias (C): - (Tendency to say Yes or No)